Paraguay

Paraguay return to the World Cup stage as a side built on grit and organization rather than star power, and our AI model reflects that reality: a 0.0% title probability, with just a 0.6% chance of reaching the semi-finals and a 0.1% shot at the final. After securing their qualification, La Albirroja's focus is firmly on competing rather than dreaming of silverware, and recent headlines have centered on squad selection and pre-list debates, including the inclusion of goalkeeper Carlos Coronel and Alonso's candid comments about his hopes of featuring at the tournament.

The squad leans on attacking talent scattered across leagues. Gabriel Ávalos has been prolific at Independiente with 16 goals and three assists (7.14 rating), making him the focal point up front. Miguel Almirón, now at Atlanta United, brings the highest rating of the group at 7.22 with six goals and four assists, while Maurício at Palmeiras (three goals, seven assists) and Julio Enciso at Strasbourg (three goals, six assists) offer creativity from midfield. The collective lacks a true superstar, but the balance of finishing and chance creation gives them a workable identity.

Drawn into Group D, Paraguay's path is steep. Advancing from the group is the realistic ceiling, and any knockout progress would represent a significant achievement. The numbers are unforgiving, and a deep run looks improbable. A clear-eyed verdict: Paraguay can be a tough, disciplined opponent, but the round of 16 would mark an excellent campaign.