Match preview
Our statistical model leans towards Spain in this one — around 39% to win, with a 29% chance of a draw. The two meet at MetLife Stadium. Play the whole tournament forward in the simulator to see how far each side goes.
Open the simulator →How to watch
US: free over the air on FOX (English) or Telemundo (Spanish, 92 matches) — every match streams on Peacock (ES) or the FOX Sports app (EN). India: only the opener, quarter-finals, semis and final are free on DD Sports — all 104 need the ZEE5 FIFA pack (Hotstar has no rights in 2026). Nigeria: 34 matches incl. the final are free on SportyTV (TV & YouTube). Free streams are geo-restricted — use your country's official broadcaster.
Direct free-watch links for every country →Get every pick before kickoff — free
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Prediction FAQ
Who will win Spain vs Argentina?
Our statistical model makes Spain the favourite, at around 39% to win. But this is World Cup football — upsets happen.
What is the score prediction for Spain vs Argentina?
Based on our model's expected goals, a scoreline around 1-1 is the most likely outcome, though a single match carries plenty of variance.
What is the prediction for Spain vs Argentina?
The model leans Spain. See the live win/draw/loss probability above and run the scenario in the simulator. This is analysis, not betting advice.
Squads
Spain
Joan GarcíaGoalkeeper
David RayaGoalkeeper
Unai SimónGoalkeeper
Pau Cubarsí ParedesDefender
Marc CucurellaDefender
Eric GarcíaDefender
Argentina
E. MartínezGoalkeeper
J. MussoGoalkeeper
G. RulliGoalkeeper
Lisandro MartínezDefender
F. MedinaDefender
N. MolinaDefender
