Group H
Spain
55.2
%
Win Cup
100%
Reach Final
100%
Reach Semis
2010
Elo
Our AI gives Spain a 55.2% chance of winning the 2026 World Cup.
Squad
26
13Joan García
Goalkeeper
1David Raya
Goalkeeper
23Unai Simón
Goalkeeper
221⚽Pau Cubarsí Paredes
Defender
241⚽Marc Cucurella
Defender
41⚽Eric García
Defender
38⚽Álex Grimaldo
Defender
14Aymeric Laporte
Defender
5Marcos Llorente
Midfielder
121⚽Pedro Porro
Defender
21⚽Marc Pubill
Defender
9Gavi
Midfielder
64⚽Mikel Merino
Midfielder
202⚽Pedri
Midfielder
161⚽Rodri
Midfielder
81⚽Fabián Ruiz
Midfielder
185⚽Martín Zubimendi
Midfielder
157⚽Álex Baena
Midfielder
107⚽Dani Olmo
Midfielder
2614⚽Borja Iglesias
Attacker
1916⚽Lamine Yamal
Attacker
256⚽Víctor Muñoz
Attacker
2115⚽Mikel Oyarzabal
Attacker
112⚽Yeremy Pino
Midfielder
716⚽Ferran Torres
Midfielder
176⚽Nico Williams
Attacker
Our model says
Win Cup
55.2%
Reach Final
100%
Reach Semis
100%
Reach QF
100%
Reach R16
100%
Reach R32
100%
Group stage exit:
0%
Makes the knockouts:
100%
Fixtures
3 group matchesRelated reading
Team preview
Spain at the World Cup 2026: Favourites With a Point to Prove
Analysis
World Cup 2026 Group H preview: Spain are runaway favourites, and the model backs Bielsa's wall over the Saudis for second
Group H rivals
Cape Verde
Saudi Arabia
UruguayAI fair odds to win the cup
1.81
decimal
Our model rates Spain at 55.2%. Beat 1.81 at a sportsbook and you're getting value.