Group J
Argentina
44.8
%
Win Cup
100%
Reach Final
100%
Reach Semis
1976
Elo
Our AI gives Argentina a 44.8% chance of winning the 2026 World Cup.
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Squad
26
23E. Martínez
Goalkeeper
1J. Musso
Goalkeeper
12G. Rulli
Goalkeeper
6Lisandro Martínez
Defender
25F. Medina
Defender
262⚽N. Molina
Defender
43⚽G. Montiel
Defender
192⚽N. Otamendi
Defender
134⚽C. Romero
Defender
3N. Tagliafico
Defender
82⚽V. Barco
Midfielder
2410⚽E. Fernández
Midfielder
112⚽G. Lo Celso
Midfielder
202⚽A. Mac Allister
Midfielder
14E. Palacios
Midfielder
51⚽L. Paredes
Midfielder
155⚽N. González
Attacker
71⚽R. De Paul
Midfielder
163⚽T. Almada
Midfielder
98⚽J. Álvarez
Attacker
1812⚽N. Paz
Attacker
2112⚽J. López
Attacker
2217⚽Lautaro Martínez
Attacker
1035⚽L. Messi
Attacker
174⚽G. Simeone
Midfielder
6M. Senesi
Midfielder
Our model says
Win Cup
44.8%
Reach Final
100%
Reach Semis
100%
Reach QF
100%
Reach R16
100%
Reach R32
100%
Group stage exit:
0%
Makes the knockouts:
100%
Fixtures
3 group matchesRelated reading
Algeria
Austria
JordanAI fair odds to win the cup
2.23
decimal
Our model rates Argentina at 44.8%. Beat 2.23 at a sportsbook and you're getting value.