SPAIN23.9%·ARGENTINA20.7%·FRANCE16.8%·BRAZIL9.1%·ENGLAND7.5%·NETHERLANDS4.3%·PORTUGAL3.8%·GERMANY3.2%·SPAIN23.9%·ARGENTINA20.7%·FRANCE16.8%·BRAZIL9.1%·ENGLAND7.5%·NETHERLANDS4.3%·PORTUGAL3.8%·GERMANY3.2%·
CUP26AI
Group H
Cape Verde flag

Cape Verde

0.0
%
Win Cup
0%
Reach Final
0%
Reach Semis
1500
Elo

Our AI gives Cape Verde a 0% chance of winning the 2026 World Cup.

Cape Verde crest

Squad

26

AIThe briefing

Live

Cape Verde arrive at the 2026 World Cup as one of the tournament's debutants, a milestone moment for a small island nation that has captured imaginations with its qualification. Recent headlines confirm the historic nature of the achievement, with the federation's vice-president even visiting Brazil's CBF to seek support, declaring an ambition to grow within the game. Our AI model is sober about the title picture, however, rating their championship chances at 0.0%, with no realistic path to either the semi-finals or the final. This is a campaign about belonging on the biggest stage rather than lifting the trophy.

The attacking unit gives Cape Verde their identity. Willy Semedo, at Omonia Nicosia, carries the standout numbers with 5 goals and 3 assists and a strong 7.84 rating, making him the most reliable creative and finishing presence. Hélio Varela contributes 6 goals and 3 assists at a 7.08 rating, while Jovane Cabral brings 7 goals and a 7.04 rating, and Gilson Benchimol has been prolific with 8 goals at Akron. The forward pool is genuinely deep, even if a lack of elite top-five-league regulars remains the obvious concern against the world's heavyweights.

With their group not yet confirmed, the road ahead is daunting for the newcomers. Realistically, Cape Verde will fight to be competitive, chase a memorable result and savor the experience of a first World Cup. Advancing from the group would represent a remarkable overachievement, and the knockout rounds look beyond reach.

AI analysis · updated daily

Our model says

Win Cup
0%
Reach Final
0%
Reach Semis
0%
Reach QF
0.3%
Reach R16
2.8%
Reach R32
19.2%
Group stage exit:
80.8%
Makes the knockouts:
19.2%

Fixtures

3 group matches
  • Matchday 5 · Group HJun 15
    Cape Verde vs Spain
    2%
    9%
    90%
    WinDrawLoss
  • Matchday 11 · Group HJun 21
    Cape Verde vs Uruguay
    4%
    16%
    80%
    WinDrawLoss
  • Matchday 16 · Group HJun 27
    Cape Verde vs Saudi Arabia
    21%
    27%
    51%
    WinDrawLoss
AI fair odds to win the cup
0.00
decimal

Our model rates Cape Verde at 0%. Beat 0.00 at a sportsbook and you're getting value.

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