SPAIN23.9%·ARGENTINA20.7%·FRANCE16.8%·BRAZIL9.1%·ENGLAND7.5%·NETHERLANDS4.3%·PORTUGAL3.8%·GERMANY3.2%·SPAIN23.9%·ARGENTINA20.7%·FRANCE16.8%·BRAZIL9.1%·ENGLAND7.5%·NETHERLANDS4.3%·PORTUGAL3.8%·GERMANY3.2%·
CUP26AI
Group J
Jordan flag

Jordan

0.0
%
Win Cup
0%
Reach Final
0%
Reach Semis
1510
Elo

Our AI gives Jordan a 0% chance of winning the 2026 World Cup.

Jordan crest

Squad

38

AIThe briefing

Live

Jordan arrive at the 2026 World Cup as one of the tournament's debutant nations, a milestone in itself for a federation that has steadily climbed the regional ladder. Our AI model is sober about their ceiling, however, assigning them a 0.0% title probability, with effectively no chance of reaching either the semifinals or the final. The headlines underline the historic nature of the occasion, with Jordanian broadcast schedules and kit guides already in circulation, but the reality is that this is a side built to compete for survival rather than glory at this level.

The attack offers the brightest sparks. Mousa Tamari is the clear standout, contributing six goals and six assists for Rennes with a 6.9 rating, the kind of European-honed creativity Jordan will lean on heavily. Yazan Al Naimat has been efficient at Al-Arabi SC with a strong 7.3 rating from two goals and an assist, while A. Azaizeh of Al Shabab and Ibrahim Sabra at NK Lokomotiva Zagreb each add depth with two goals and an assist apiece. One concern flagged in the coverage is the broader theme of squad absences affecting potential underdogs, a worry for a team with limited margins.

Drawn into Group J, Jordan face the daunting task of escaping the group stage on their first appearance. With Tamari capable of a moment of magic, a memorable result is not unthinkable, but realistically progression beyond the group looks beyond them. The clear-eyed verdict: cherish the debut and aim to compete.

AI analysis · updated daily

Our model says

Win Cup
0%
Reach Final
0%
Reach Semis
0%
Reach QF
0.6%
Reach R16
6.3%
Reach R32
41.9%
Group stage exit:
58.1%
Makes the knockouts:
41.9%

Fixtures

3 group matches
  • Matchday 6 · Group JJun 17
    Jordan vs Austria
    37%
    29%
    34%
    WinDrawLoss
  • Matchday 12 · Group JJun 23
    Jordan vs Algeria
    16%
    25%
    58%
    WinDrawLoss
  • Matchday 17 · Group JJun 28
    Jordan vs Argentina
    2%
    9%
    89%
    WinDrawLoss
AI fair odds to win the cup
0.00
decimal

Our model rates Jordan at 0%. Beat 0.00 at a sportsbook and you're getting value.

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