SPAIN23.9%·ARGENTINA20.7%·FRANCE16.8%·BRAZIL9.1%·ENGLAND7.5%·NETHERLANDS4.3%·PORTUGAL3.8%·GERMANY3.2%·SPAIN23.9%·ARGENTINA20.7%·FRANCE16.8%·BRAZIL9.1%·ENGLAND7.5%·NETHERLANDS4.3%·PORTUGAL3.8%·GERMANY3.2%·
CUP26AI
Group F
Sweden flag

Sweden

0.0
%
Win Cup
0%
Reach Final
0%
Reach Semis
1500
Elo

Our AI gives Sweden a 0% chance of winning the 2026 World Cup.

Sweden crest

Squad

21

AIThe briefing

Live

Sweden arrive at the 2026 World Cup having taken an unusual route to qualification, securing their place despite finishing bottom of their group during the qualifiers, as Brazilian outlet ge noted. The squad list for the tournament has already been announced, and expectations are tempered: our AI model gives Sweden a 0.0% chance of lifting the trophy, with reaching the final or semi-finals also rated at 0.0%. It points to a side that earned its ticket the hard way and now faces an uphill battle against the elite.

The attacking options offer genuine intrigue. Benjamin Nygren has been prolific at Celtic with 16 goals and 5 assists at a 7.16 rating, while Viktor Gyökeres carries 14 goals for Arsenal, though his 6.62 rating hints at a less commanding overall display. In midfield, Bashkim Zeneli of IF Elfsborg stands out with 8 assists and a team-best 7.45 rating, complemented by Mjallby's Elliot Stroud, who blends 9 goals and 5 assists at 7.41. Nygren's club scoring form is the standout asset Sweden will lean on heavily.

Drawn into Group F, Sweden's first task is simply to compete and look to escape the group stage. Given the model's stark probabilities, a deep knockout run appears improbable, and the realistic verdict is a team battling to make the round of 16. With sharp finishing from Nygren and creativity from Zeneli, they can be awkward opponents, but the data frames this as a campaign about overachieving rather than contending.

AI analysis · updated daily

Our model says

Win Cup
0%
Reach Final
0%
Reach Semis
0%
Reach QF
0.2%
Reach R16
2.4%
Reach R32
14.4%
Group stage exit:
85.6%
Makes the knockouts:
14.4%

Fixtures

3 group matches
  • Matchday 4 · Group FJun 15
    Sweden vs Tunisia
    16%
    25%
    58%
    WinDrawLoss
  • Matchday 10 · Group FJun 20
    Sweden vs Netherlands
    2%
    12%
    86%
    WinDrawLoss
  • Matchday 15 · Group FJun 25
    Sweden vs Japan
    3%
    15%
    82%
    WinDrawLoss
AI fair odds to win the cup
0.00
decimal

Our model rates Sweden at 0%. Beat 0.00 at a sportsbook and you're getting value.

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